[FUTURE IMPACT LAB]

Framework

Case Classification

Every FIL case is classified along six dimensions. Classification shapes how the case is run, who participates, and what kind of thinking is expected.

Case Type

The primary thinking mode required.

Exploratory

Expand imagination and reveal hidden implications of plausible futures.

Strategic

Focus on policy, capability, investment, and preparation.

Operational

Focus on implementation — how, in what sequence, with what resources.

Institutional

Explore how organizations themselves must evolve.

Red Team

Challenge assumptions and stress-test optimistic thinking.

Wildcard

Explore discontinuous futures and black swan events.

Sensitivity

Who can see and access the case.

Public

Visible to everyone. Open participation.

Community

Visible only to approved members.

Institutional Private

Visible only to approved institutional participants.

Restricted

Visible only to specifically approved named participants.

Sealed

The case itself remains private. Only approved outputs may be published.

Scope

The scale of impact being examined.

Individual

Single human life.

Family

Household and close relationships.

Community

Local communities, cities, and regions.

National

Country-level systems and strategy.

International

Cross-border geopolitical systems.

Civilizational

Humanity-wide transformations.

Horizon

The timeframe of the future being explored.

Near

0–5 years.

Mid

5–15 years.

Long

15–40 years.

Deep

40+ years. These cases require slower reflection.

Intensity

The cognitive depth expected from participants.

Light

Quick participation and low conceptual load.

Moderate

Normal strategic exploration.

Deep

Heavy reflection encouraged. Notebook use recommended.

Transformative

Existential or civilization-shifting implications. Take your time.

Participation Mode

Who may contribute to the case.

Human Only

Human participants only.

Human + FIL AI

Humans plus FIL internal AI participants.

Institutional AI Enabled

Approved institutional AI agents may contribute.

Expert Invited

Invite-only specialists.

Cross-Institution

Multiple institutions collaborate.

Open Cohort

Broad approved community participation.

Case Profile

Every case displays a visible Case Profile before participation begins. It prepares participants psychologically and intellectually for the exploration ahead.

Example Profile

TypeExploratory
SensitivityPublic
ScopeCivilizational
HorizonLong
IntensityTransformative
ParticipationHuman + FIL AI